HAR MLS September Market Report: Houston and Katy Real Estate

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September brought the Houston housing market its third straight month of declining sales volume following the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit. However, despite the drop, pricing continued to demonstrate strength with a boost in the average price and a slight uptick in the median price of single-family homes.

According to the latest monthly data compiled by the Houston Association of REALTORS® (HAR), September sales of single-family homes throughout the Houston market fell 18.6 percent compared to September 2009. Declines were recorded in three of the five pricing segments.

The average price of a single-family home rose 5.0 percent from September 2009 to $215,250, primarily due to continued strength in the upper end of the market. The September single-family home median price—the figure at which half of the homes sold for more and half sold for less—edged up 0.2 percent from one year earlier to $156,250. Both average and median pricing achieved the highest levels for a September in Houston.

Foreclosure property sales reported in the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) declined 6.9 percent in September compared to one year earlier. The median price of September foreclosure sales slid 5.2 percent to $82,500 on a year-over-year basis. These figures were collected before the national controversy arose over alleged improprieties in preparation and review of foreclosure paperwork and therefore does not reflect any potential freeze on such transactions.

Sales of all property types in Houston for September totaled 4,648, down 18.0 percent compared to September 2009. Total dollar volume for properties sold during the month was $958 million versus $1.1 billion one year earlier, representing a 12.9 percent drop.

“The Houston real estate market continues to experience slower sales coupled with strong pricing, and that combination still puts us in an enviable position compared to many other markets around the country,” said Margie Dorrance, HAR chair and principal at Keller Williams Realty Metropolitan. “With interest rates at all-time lows, we look to the fourth quarter of 2010 with hopeful eyes provided the local job market is healthy.”

September Monthly Market Comparison

The month of September brought Houston’s overall housing market largely negative results when all listing categories are compared to September of 2009. Total property sales and total dollar volume fell on a year-over-year basis while the average single-family home sales price rose and the median price was flat.

Month-end pending sales for September totaled 3,023, down 17.2 percent from last year, suggesting the probability of another sluggish month for sales in October. The number of available properties, or active listings, at the end of September rose 18.7 percent from September 2009 to 54,027. The increase in available inventory coupled with slow sales volume has pushed the inventory of single-family homes for September to 7.7 months compared to 6.2 months one year earlier. This figure still remains healthier than the national inventory of single-family homes of 11.6 months, reported by the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR).

CATEGORIES SEPTEMBER 2009 SEPTEMBER 2010 PERCENT CHANGE
Total property sales 5,671 4,648 -18.0%
Total dollar volume $1,100,317,722 $958,308,113 -12.9%
Total active listings 45,520 54,027 18.7%
Total pending sales 3,650 3,023 -17.2%
Single-family home sales 4,797 3,903 -18.6%
Single-family average sales price $204,922 $215,250 5.0%
Single-family median sales price $156,000 $156,250 0.2%
Months inventory* 6.2 7.7 24.1%
* Months inventory estimates the number of months it will take to deplete current active inventory based on the prior 12 months sales activity. This figure is representative of the single-family homes market.

Single-Family Homes Update

September sales of single-family homes in Houston totaled 3,903, down 18.6 percent from September 2009. This marks the third monthly decline in sales volume after four consecutive months of accelerated sales activity that was largely driven by the tax credit. Broken out by segment, September sales of homes in the $80K-$150K range dropped 26.1 percent; sales of homes between $150K and $250K were off 25.4 percent; and sales of homes ranging from $250K-$500K slid 18.0 percent. Sales of homes priced from $80K and below climbed 6.3 percent while those that make up the luxury market—priced from $500K and up—rose 6.6 percent. Sales of all property types combined declined 18.0 percent in September on a year-over-year basis. However, on a year-to-date basis, single-family home sales are off 1.8 percent from 2009 levels.

Houston Real Estate Milestones in September
  • At $215,250, the average price of a single-family home reached the highest level recorded for a September in Houston;
  • At $156,250, the median price of a single-family home also reached the highest level recorded for a September in Houston;
  • 7.7 months inventory of single-family homes compares favorably to the national average of 11.6 months.
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